Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.068914 0.077551 0.086420 0.096177 0.106581 0.117317 0.129203
2025-05-11 0.053176 0.065804 0.079482 0.095261 0.112825 0.131651 0.153234
2025-05-18 0.044732 0.059923 0.077106 0.097655 0.121256 0.147233 0.177714
2025-05-25 0.038367 0.055229 0.075044 0.099472 0.128246 0.160581 0.199202
2025-06-01 0.031380 0.048785 0.070065 0.097108 0.129744 0.167140 0.212537
2025-06-08 0.025797 0.043360 0.065690 0.094890 0.130921 0.172927 0.224645
2025-06-15 0.023037 0.041276 0.065201 0.097181 0.137302 0.184672 0.243588
2025-06-22 0.020249 0.038803 0.063934 0.098266 0.142037 0.194341 0.260017
2025-06-29 0.018926 0.038256 0.065095 0.102369 0.150458 0.208426 0.281714
2025-07-06 0.016628 0.035986 0.063712 0.102996 0.154398 0.217001 0.296780
2025-07-13 0.016813 0.037548 0.067668 0.110721 0.167404 0.236744 0.325410
2025-07-20 0.014109 0.034199 0.064449 0.108648 0.167725 0.240771 0.334942
2025-07-27 0.012875 0.033275 0.064844 0.111727 0.175078 0.254011 0.356360
2025-08-03 0.010754 0.030566 0.062453 0.110892 0.177327 0.260960 0.370240
2025-08-10 0.009681 0.029594 0.062596 0.113551 0.184177 0.273723 0.391352
2025-08-17 0.008594 0.028428 0.062329 0.115550 0.190101 0.285301 0.411013
2025-08-24 0.006801 0.025508 0.059026 0.112958 0.189670 0.288632 0.420284
2025-08-31 0.005312 0.022881 0.055962 0.110524 0.189305 0.291940 0.429448
2025-09-07 0.004750 0.022271 0.056233 0.113038 0.195746 0.304081 0.449785
2025-09-14 0.004074 0.021229 0.055669 0.114229 0.200315 0.313773 0.467037
2025-09-21 0.003876 0.021402 0.057250 0.118725 0.209546 0.329621 0.492182
2025-09-28 0.003259 0.020279 0.056411 0.119411 0.213373 0.338349 0.508262
2025-10-05 0.003533 0.021801 0.060485 0.127859 0.228282 0.361799 0.543272